Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e0609e46220989e28e591b2fb47071effcae9b2a60d86cdaaa3ca149bb4662d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersof St. Bonaventure Bonnies, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,442 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 19c | 5,041$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.51 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 20c | 1,280$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.98 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 19c | 781.13$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 20c | 310$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 80c | 285$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…a329backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 8c | 249.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…3dfbbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 11c | 230.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 13c | 197.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 20c | 181$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 19c | 150.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 20c | 141.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 78c | 129.52$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 79c | 117$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 80c | 102.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 18c | 90.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 80c | 62.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 79c | 39.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 79c | 38.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…f59abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 79c | 15.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.