South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fdb7c079a4059c0f9eb91fdfd75e650b391da2f6e8672809e8a79f04f6b4776
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,439 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 4,676$3,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.65 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 1,235$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 27c | 1,006$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.01 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 77c | 977.73$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 68c | 903.23$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.63 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 31c | 690$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.1 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 57c | 446.08$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.54 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Yes | 46c | 435.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 31c | 403.28$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.32 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 59c | 399.42$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.08 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 329.31$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.32 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 253.28$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 43c | 196.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.02 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 79c | 192.09$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…33b8backed Yes | 31c | 162.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 31c | 160.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…e929backed Yes | 64c | 156.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 39c | 151.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 28c | 142.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 21c | 141.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 27c | 138.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 135.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 71c | 134.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 129$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 123.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 64c | 112.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 31c | 112.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes | 31c | 100.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 95.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 31c | 93.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed No | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 29c | 69.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Yes | 33c | 69.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…3dfbbacked Yes | 34c | 65.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…eb0dbacked No | 70c | 53.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 29c | 50.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 44c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 40c | 36.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…d920backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 70c | 33.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…55b0backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…dbc4backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 35c | 28.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 79c | 21.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 57c | 18.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 67c | 17.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 71c | 16.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-23?No won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.