South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd651665777cacc6cd5fcd3e0a0fd650cf326f6308e0045adc5efb2ba5ce0fef6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,990 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 17c | 2,118$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,444$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 19c | 1,250$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.71 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 17c | 913.88$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 14c | 796.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 14c | 650$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 7c | 518.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 16c | 465$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 13c | 399.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 17c | 313.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 16c | 309$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545f…66dbbacked Yes | 11c | 290$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 268.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…c557backed Yes | 18c | 231.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 15c | 217.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 17c | 194.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…f9bfbacked Yes | 17c | 181.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 9c | 164$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 149.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…93b1backed Yes | 16c | 115.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 17c | 109$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 13c | 103$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 18c | 69.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 20c | 65.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Yes | 16c | 64.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…ccc6backed Yes | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-23?this page
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.