TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof Yakult Brothers, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,504 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked BetBoom Team76c32,538$24,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,707.7455157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Yakult Brothers27c32,128$8,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,813.4571454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yakult Brothers11c26,275$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.512,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Yakult Brothers23c8,595$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.7851751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked BetBoom Team63c8,035$5,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,972.8239660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed BetBoom Team74c7,998$5,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.5920156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Yakult Brothers21c6,244$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.41,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Yakult Brothers23c4,996$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.761,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team71c4,222$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.2954556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Yakult Brothers23c3,871$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.281,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yakult Brothers24c3,305$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.9986949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed BetBoom Team76c3,288$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.946566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yakult Brothers25c3,200$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.9166662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yakult Brothers30c2,653$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.9513020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yakult Brothers18c2,598$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.641,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Yakult Brothers27c2,070$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.4118746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Yakult Brothers28c1,750$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49081029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked BetBoom Team70c1,571$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.8520367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team76c1,385$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.191,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed BetBoom Team70c1,367$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.6514744.2%65 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Yakult Brothers32c1,352$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.5425444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yakult Brothers30c1,324$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.96633.3%22 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Yakult Brothers35c1,051$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.1860552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yakult Brothers6c1,031$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.877955.7%44 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yakult Brothers21c1,027$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.82,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed BetBoom Team63c1,019$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.8523650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked BetBoom Team71c923.78$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.1823653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Yakult Brothers27c656.01$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5346649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Yakult Brothers37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22237047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed BetBoom Team73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16233549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c29…afadbacked BetBoom Team70c586.26$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.856150.8%31 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked BetBoom Team67c575.08$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.5811960.5%72 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Yakult Brothers31c509.16$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9333644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yakult Brothers18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013027.7%36 W · 94 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Yakult Brothers25c457.97$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2550832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Yakult Brothers9c432.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9111043.6%48 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed BetBoom Team70c429.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8846451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Yakult Brothers26c420.97$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0220858.7%122 W · 86 L+22.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked BetBoom Team79c408.47$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.196753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yakult Brothers32c406.25$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13036654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Yakult Brothers11c399.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.566132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yakult Brothers21c399.18$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9156548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed BetBoom Team79c397.04$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.538251.2%42 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed BetBoom Team70c372.99$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.972154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked BetBoom Team78c364.4$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8216550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Yakult Brothers31c346.24$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.341,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Yakult Brothers24c324.2$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8872035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed BetBoom Team72c316$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4832854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed BetBoom Team75c313.13$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2825457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Yakult Brothers29c310.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9054753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…60ccbacked Yakult Brothers24c307$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.383647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yakult Brothers31c271.07$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9351550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked BetBoom Team79c242.56$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.447162%44 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed BetBoom Team79c226.55$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2711549.6%57 W · 58 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed BetBoom Team78c223.01$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5911450%57 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yakult Brothers13c218.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5425639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Yakult Brothers32c217.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7057735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a0…1be2backed BetBoom Team77c215.89$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.812770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked BetBoom Team68c204.52$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4456243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked Yakult Brothers30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024137.3%90 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908b…247cbacked Yakult Brothers25c199$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.758254.9%45 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe180…889bbacked BetBoom Team78c197.21$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4312456.5%70 W · 54 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed BetBoom Team79c193.87$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.610550.5%53 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked BetBoom Team79c193.22$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.255349.1%26 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Yakult Brothers26c192.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7113228.8%38 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Yakult Brothers10c190.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb150…236dbacked Yakult Brothers28c176.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502642.3%11 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x544c…7029backed BetBoom Team79c176.53$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.533348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76fc…48fabacked BetBoom Team79c162.94$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3913247.7%63 W · 69 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed BetBoom Team77c145.67$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.089650%48 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1528…e141backed Yakult Brothers26c141.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.891915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-69.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed BetBoom Team71c134.28$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3934860.1%209 W · 139 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Yakult Brothers20c133.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7531835.8%114 W · 204 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Yakult Brothers26c129.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8835948.2%173 W · 186 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed BetBoom Team76c124.61$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.917268.1%49 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Yakult Brothers13c123.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0718444.6%82 W · 102 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Yakult Brothers29c120.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3552649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Yakult Brothers9c119.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.261,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6680…0535backed BetBoom Team78c114.43$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.366149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab90…a576backed BetBoom Team70c113.22$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.976352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7627…4404backed Yakult Brothers18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014832.4%48 W · 100 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62bd…3dfbbacked Yakult Brothers30c109.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3770%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked BetBoom Team73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2788166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a09…daf2backed Yakult Brothers24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+49.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Yakult Brothers35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3573554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed BetBoom Team70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3092561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked Yakult Brothers26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2640745.5%185 W · 222 L-1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d9…6cd6backed Yakult Brothers30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed BetBoom Team69c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed BetBoom Team74c99.09$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.766647%31 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c88…26b9backed Yakult Brothers31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Yakult Brothers32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024955.4%138 W · 111 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2148…128ebacked Yakult Brothers32c92.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1019…d7cabacked BetBoom Team79c91.8$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.556650%33 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked BetBoom Team79c91$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.228257.3%47 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed BetBoom Team76c88.63$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2716152.2%84 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yakult Brothers25c87.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.391,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed BetBoom Team78c87.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9810649.1%52 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03e8…d073backed Yakult Brothers36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked BetBoom Team79c80.78$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.366650%33 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.