Euroleague · resolved market
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f8d531a6ef626465310f00963f1d8583e1e3419aafa8342aa086ce9942e08f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guangdong Southern Tigersof Guangdong Southern Tigers, Sichuan Blue Whales
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,818 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 26,663$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 7c | 5,835$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.92 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…a389backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 0c | 5,410$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…d870backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 5,010$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2274…988ebacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 1c | 4,762$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 8c | 4,407$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 1,800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 1,478$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 4c | 1,356$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…89a9backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 1c | 1,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 36c | 1,074$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.1 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…4468backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 1,074$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 1,054$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…3fd7backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 999.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 8c | 961.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 64c | 812$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.4 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 693.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 7c | 607.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 599.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 550$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 545.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…706abacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 541.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 495.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 481.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 7c | 316$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 12c | 232$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 12c | 214.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…c6c8backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 7c | 211.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 11c | 196$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 12c | 149$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 12c | 131.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 69c | 70.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.