TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f6f…706a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+86.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ningbo Rockets vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.75
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+300%+$100
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whalesbacked Sichuan Blue Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.82
Bucks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.58
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$38.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$78.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$25.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winnerbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
LoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bruno Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.