CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BESTIA (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bd2426e9b566c785a2fa4f72b0c095418f13a50e10b64611c524cfe6d55b062
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,449 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Sinners | 72c | 3,682$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.61 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sinners | 70c | 2,232$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.95 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed BESTIA | 3c | 1,249$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed BESTIA | 18c | 1,107$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.86 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed BESTIA | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed BESTIA | 28c | 1,070$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.72 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed BESTIA | 30c | 957.21$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.94 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked BESTIA | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed BESTIA | 25c | 813.33$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.3 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BESTIA | 33c | 748.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed BESTIA | 30c | 660$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked BESTIA | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…e268backed Sinners | 71c | 587.32$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed BESTIA | 30c | 534.23$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Sinners | 69c | 412.7$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.94 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked BESTIA | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sinners | 67c | 399.99$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…e81bbacked BESTIA | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sinners | 73c | 374.08$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed BESTIA | 27c | 331.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked BESTIA | 31c | 315.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed BESTIA | 31c | 306.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Sinners | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Sinners | 75c | 291.33$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sinners | 70c | 229.08$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…770ebacked BESTIA | 27c | 220.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BESTIA | 31c | 211.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Sinners | 74c | 201.82$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed BESTIA | 30c | 193$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sinners | 60c | 190.07$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…4a88backed BESTIA | 14c | 178$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed BESTIA | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…2b8fbacked BESTIA | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed BESTIA | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Sinners | 69c | 152.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked BESTIA | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed BESTIA | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Sinners | 69c | 149.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…7cb1backed BESTIA | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…6ce1backed BESTIA | 12c | 129.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Sinners | 71c | 123.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb73…155fbacked BESTIA | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sinners | 72c | 119.61$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…706abacked BESTIA | 31c | 100.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Sinners | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Sinners | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed BESTIA | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Sinners | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Sinners | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked BESTIA | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked BESTIA | 24c | 95.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed BESTIA | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…7175backed BESTIA | 15c | 75.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Sinners | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…0d42backed BESTIA | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Sinners | 69c | 67.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed BESTIA | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed BESTIA | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed BESTIA | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked BESTIA | 28c | 56.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BESTIA | 28c | 54.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfec3…c22cbacked BESTIA | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Sinners | 80c | 46.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Sinners | 71c | 46.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed BESTIA | 27c | 43.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Sinners | 70c | 40.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sinners | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…d36ebacked BESTIA | 29c | 36.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed Sinners | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Sinners | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb6…3e8dbacked Sinners | 73c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Sinners | 74c | 25.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Sinners | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Sinners | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Sinners | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Sinners | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BESTIA (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerSinners won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.