CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb95a12d78a400235575513dd2c8a85db27793b0d4d8daab65e17605ca2c40777
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,297 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked BESTIA | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed BESTIA | 30c | 499.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Sinners | 70c | 449.3$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sinners | 73c | 419.95$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sinners | 77c | 415.01$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Sinners | 70c | 280.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BESTIA | 18c | 270.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed BESTIA | 27c | 210$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Sinners | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed BESTIA | 35c | 156.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sinners | 66c | 155.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BESTIA | 26c | 147.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked BESTIA | 23c | 116.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked BESTIA | 23c | 111.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked BESTIA | 21c | 93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8e…ca2ebacked Sinners | 71c | 81.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked BESTIA | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BESTIA | 35c | 75.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked BESTIA | 30c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked BESTIA | 35c | 56.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Sinners | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Sinners | 80c | 15.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BESTIA (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.