TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$258,699

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,699 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Over53c117,769$62,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,587.0929446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Over51c75,336$38,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,914.5218352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c27,342$12,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,898.9337851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under49c16,429$8,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0506546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c16,294$7,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,98417049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under49c13,906$6,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,813.716357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under47c13,784$6,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,505.796055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c13,673$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7005850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under48c10,000$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7505259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under47c9,663$4,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,541.524845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c9,482$4,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,248.58,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c7,700$3,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,641.0539853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc213…a83abacked Under49c6,982$3,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,421.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under48c6,703$3,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,195.068351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under48c6,253$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ded…d827backed Under49c6,126$3,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Under49c5,644$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.652157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under47c5,525$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,596.7523354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cbc…13c7backed Over51c5,173$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe867…fdbdbacked Over51c5,032$2,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,465.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under48c5,000$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3752263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under7c3,254$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.851,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c3,000$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42511459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Under48c3,000$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4252245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95d9…95bfbacked Over51c2,901$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c2,377$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.222,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over53c1,653$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.738057.5%46 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under46c1,607$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.4447756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under48c1,275$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61212757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under48c1,000$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4754656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under48c1,000$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4754153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under49c990.49$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.341450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under41c938.7$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.79925.3%25 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under47c896.96$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.9620953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Under49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c790.07$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.895,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked Over68c760$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.22070%14 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under46c699.99$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.994953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over58c688.85$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.722835.7%10 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.562552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c529.26$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.252,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under48c519.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9928158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under48c500$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under48c500$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over49c462.4$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under48c438$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2422457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18e…e87dbacked Under35c436.22$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under48c400$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Over71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over47c383.82$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9119135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under48c350$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.255160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under48c350$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.257856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Under48c344.13$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under48c320$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14711245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under47c282.9$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.969953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under48c280.15$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.091,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under48c280$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1336558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under48c280$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1333759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under48c250$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.754654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under48c250$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7517960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under48c250$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.756962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under48c240$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1147055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under48c240$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11413557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under47c234.04$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under48c232.19$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.456162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf82f…a6d6backed Over51c228.55$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b5…0efdbacked Under48c228$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d1…d711backed Over51c227.74$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c03…b7cdbacked Under48c227$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bfb…6536backed Under49c227$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c24…f7acbacked Under49c227$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6db…f396backed Under48c226$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3205…6d53backed Over52c225.56$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f2…029ebacked Over52c225.09$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63dd…b4c7backed Over51c224.8$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94df…c254backed Under49c224$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x800b…9404backed Over51c223.53$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x774f…b3e7backed Over51c222.94$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3a0…113abacked Over51c222.6$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa958…e508backed Over51c222.4$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9a…aff3backed Over51c221.2$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…a41bbacked Over51c221.15$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9147…236dbacked Over52c220.91$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7fe…1aeebacked Over51c220.56$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2672…8dbfbacked Under49c220$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d07…228fbacked Over51c219.45$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f18…8952backed Over51c219.3$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2667…4e07backed Under48c219$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf521…5a6abacked Under49c219$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4391…809ebacked Under49c219$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62db…3cefbacked Under48c219$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a9…4491backed Under49c219$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa911…0a40backed Over51c218.47$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…4c67backed Over52c218.44$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…a75fbacked Over51c218.03$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a9…fc0bbacked Under49c218$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.