South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0ec7adc67ee23ad3324233bcebe523a556803e6368d769af8f65ff0018e4394
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,321 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 26c | 1,041$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.29 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2e…3fb7backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 743.65$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 8c | 703.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 35c | 285.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 40c | 203.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 67c | 147.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 67c | 131.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 125$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 47c | 105.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…5994backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 66c | 65.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4988…d21cbacked No | 65c | 58.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 56c | 45.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 46c | 43.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 63c | 33.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 43c | 28.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 60c | 17.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 16.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5)CD Riestra won
- Spread: CD Riestra (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.