South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f7f4dd6ce8007f61593ab52502a32a6e75efd205ed98f01fdb3a9351712ae43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,225 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 74c | 2,369$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.93 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 20c | 1,801$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 32c | 1,678$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.32 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 1,332$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 1,009$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f49…085bbacked Under | 76c | 827.84$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d2…fb74backed Over | 24c | 827.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 27c | 788.89$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…7babbacked Over | 24c | 778.59$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a3…490fbacked Under | 76c | 778.59$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 21c | 755.79$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.25 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 75c | 722.23$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.56 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f75…7233backed Under | 73c | 691.8$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d8…7adabacked Over | 27c | 691.8$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 21c | 673.74$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 77c | 493.64$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…112ebacked Over | 16c | 475$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 74c | 443.6$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 69c | 309.74$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 26c | 300.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Under | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa594…01c3backed Under | 74c | 239.33$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b07…ea56backed Over | 26c | 239$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 74c | 217.83$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked Over | 28c | 206$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 25c | 177.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 71c | 177.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 25c | 173$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 77c | 165.2$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 79c | 143.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 26c | 143.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 17c | 139.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 29c | 127.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 26c | 121.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 74c | 112.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460e…d3ebbacked Under | 71c | 98.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 76c | 92.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 26c | 79.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 25c | 79.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 35c | 74.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 25c | 73.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 75c | 73.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 22c | 64.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 25c | 40.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…ff47backed Under | 76c | 34.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 36c | 31.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Under | 73c | 20.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 65c | 16.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 68c | 15.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 75c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Under | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Under | 74c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5)CD Riestra won
- Spread: CD Riestra (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.