CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda2ec348b09f46ae76d55a33755d27b82e41dfa98580293d41bd652f79b353f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,159 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked BIG | 79c | 3,384$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.55 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BIG | 80c | 2,872$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.46 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ NXT | 19c | 2,443$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.23 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked MOUZ NXT | 15c | 2,155$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.87 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ NXT | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed BIG | 80c | 1,906$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.12 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 21c | 1,587$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed BIG | 80c | 1,379$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.85 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked MOUZ NXT | 21c | 972.06$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.7 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ NXT | 20c | 961.1$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed MOUZ NXT | 21c | 942.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT | 22c | 873.81$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.36 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed BIG | 79c | 760$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked MOUZ NXT | 21c | 705.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BIG | 78c | 658.16$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed MOUZ NXT | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked MOUZ NXT | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…4d93backed BIG | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed MOUZ NXT | 20c | 499.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed BIG | 80c | 343.75$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed MOUZ NXT | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ NXT | 23c | 288.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked BIG | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed MOUZ NXT | 21c | 239.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked MOUZ NXT | 21c | 200.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BIG | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed BIG | 78c | 183.33$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…fb78backed BIG | 78c | 181.1$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 8c | 179.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked MOUZ NXT | 19c | 140$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed MOUZ NXT | 21c | 131.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ NXT | 22c | 119.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed MOUZ NXT | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked BIG | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MOUZ NXT | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed MOUZ NXT | 15c | 98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…ec2abacked MOUZ NXT | 12c | 94.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BIG | 75c | 89.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…706abacked MOUZ NXT | 20c | 70.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ NXT | 22c | 63.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 62.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed BIG | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ NXT | 19c | 59.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked BIG | 76c | 53.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed BIG | 80c | 50.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed BIG | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed MOUZ NXT | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -13.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed BIG | 80c | 49.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked BIG | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…9ebcbacked BIG | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked BIG | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BIG | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed BIG | 78c | 38.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed BIG | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked BIG | 78c | 34.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…dbc6backed BIG | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed BIG | 50c | 31.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked BIG | 79c | 28.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…2ed8backed BIG | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ef…77e7backed BIG | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed BIG | 77c | 24.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked BIG | 78c | 20.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed BIG | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked BIG | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG | 78c | 18.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed BIG | 76c | 18.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed BIG | 79c | 16.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed BIG | 79c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed BIG | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked BIG | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cb…1f21backed BIG | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerBIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.