NHL · resolved market
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. SKA St. Petersburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e030cf24b09f67df638aa62823089341fe0fc21ef15391ed0f40ae9ffad1fd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSKA Moscowof CSKA Moscow, SKA St. Petersburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,482 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed CSKA Moscow | 59c | 3,022$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed SKA St. Petersburg | 44c | 1,165$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed CSKA Moscow | 63c | 799.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.25 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed SKA St. Petersburg | 37c | 736.18$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.69 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed SKA St. Petersburg | 40c | 557.37$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.42 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SKA St. Petersburg | 40c | 445.18$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.63 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…90d3backed SKA St. Petersburg | 40c | 385$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed SKA St. Petersburg | 58c | 346.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed SKA St. Petersburg | 30c | 285$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de8…5dbdbacked CSKA Moscow | 60c | 268$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked CSKA Moscow | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…6f82backed SKA St. Petersburg | 47c | 214.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed CSKA Moscow | 65c | 162.6$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed CSKA Moscow | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…c171backed CSKA Moscow | 67c | 149.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked CSKA Moscow | 63c | 127$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 33c | 122.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 35c | 121.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0201…9eeebacked CSKA Moscow | 60c | 116$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 30c | 106.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed SKA St. Petersburg | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SKA St. Petersburg | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SKA St. Petersburg | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked CSKA Moscow | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 39c | 97.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed SKA St. Petersburg | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed CSKA Moscow | 43c | 86.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed SKA St. Petersburg | 32c | 76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed SKA St. Petersburg | 38c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked CSKA Moscow | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SKA St. Petersburg | 58c | 67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed CSKA Moscow | 63c | 62.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…118cbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 47c | 59.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CSKA Moscow | 35c | 50.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed SKA St. Petersburg | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…2c0abacked CSKA Moscow | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed CSKA Moscow | 52c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed SKA St. Petersburg | 48c | 41.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SKA St. Petersburg | 32c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CSKA Moscow | 59c | 37.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked SKA St. Petersburg | 36c | 32.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…1701backed CSKA Moscow | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed CSKA Moscow | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked CSKA Moscow | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed CSKA Moscow | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked CSKA Moscow | 51c | 29.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed SKA St. Petersburg | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2274…988ebacked CSKA Moscow | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…fbd4backed CSKA Moscow | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…6b63backed CSKA Moscow | 78c | 17.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.