Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Eswatini vs Tanzania
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7048bfd2ee98dd848302203539e92019a6fa16deafb98319872d5538d48c990
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tanzaniaof Eswatini, Tanzania
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,877 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eswatini | 1c | 1,324$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Eswatini | 25c | 1,184$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.53 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2274…988ebacked Eswatini | 15c | 333.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Eswatini | 16c | 319.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Tanzania | 73c | 250.73$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Eswatini | 18c | 250.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Tanzania | 67c | 246.6$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Eswatini | 19c | 185.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Tanzania | 69c | 174.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked Eswatini | 15c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Eswatini | 29c | 149.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Tanzania | 76c | 121.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Eswatini | 18c | 96.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…dcdebacked Eswatini | 18c | 89.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Eswatini | 18c | 88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Eswatini | 17c | 85.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Tanzania | 71c | 78.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Tanzania | 70c | 77.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Tanzania | 67c | 70.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Eswatini | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Tanzania | 78c | 54.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Tanzania | 67c | 44.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Tanzania | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Tanzania | 67c | 32.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…e3ffbacked Tanzania | 66c | 30.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Tanzania | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Tanzania | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Eswatini vs Tanzaniathis page
- T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Eswatini vs Tanzania - Who wins the toss?Eswatini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.