Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7da62e640d0d8e791bffca8aea6f8921d04c10ce6da86de870faa530387ba432
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 1c | 3,732$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked No | 30c | 836.17$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.36 | 203 | 42.9%87 W · 116 L | +20.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 51c | 743.14$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.51 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…ca66backed No | 49c | 400.67$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.33 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 59c | 362.79$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 32c | 340$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 13c | 302$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…3255backed Yes | 48c | 257.27$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1c67backed Yes | 69c | 231.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 98 | 77.6%76 W · 22 L | +16.3wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 54c | 191.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 54c | 187.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 73c | 174.35$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 150.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 56c | 150.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 46c | 133.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Yes | 68c | 116.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 34c | 115.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 37c | 106.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 54c | 106.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 46c | 104.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…298fbacked Yes | 48c | 100.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed No | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 249 | 21.3%53 W · 196 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 42c | 99.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 54c | 98.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…779dbacked Yes | 46c | 97.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 37c | 96.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff65…f1cdbacked No | 36c | 95.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…565abacked Yes | 44c | 92.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 44c | 86.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…e802backed Yes | 64c | 80.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 50c | 76.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 29c | 75.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 64c | 74.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed Yes | 49c | 72.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…1116backed No | 56c | 69.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 54c | 62.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…6604backed No | 47c | 61.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…2420backed Yes | 54c | 59.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c8…f376backed Yes | 48c | 58.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ea…234dbacked Yes | 68c | 55.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed No | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe731…55b9backed Yes | 56c | 51.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…da69backed No | 60c | 49.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa026…734cbacked Yes | 41c | 48.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 44c | 48.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…8d47backed Yes | 59c | 48.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 43c | 48.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…9b40backed Yes | 48c | 46.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 44c | 46.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 57c | 44.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed No | 38c | 42.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 38c | 41.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…d802backed Yes | 58c | 39.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 48c | 38.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…9f22backed Yes | 49c | 37.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…4908backed Yes | 41c | 35.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…e526backed Yes | 48c | 34.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 50c | 33.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 50c | 33.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 42c | 33.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…e315backed No | 46c | 32.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…2fd0backed Yes | 51c | 30.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…d023backed Yes | 58c | 29.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes | 44c | 29.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…fc4abacked No | 52c | 25.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…eadbbacked Yes | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 62c | 24.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 43c | 24.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 48c | 23.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…b814backed No | 50c | 23.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Yes | 53c | 23.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…10efbacked Yes | 63c | 23.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 50c | 22.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…9ebbbacked No | 55c | 21.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…67b3backed Yes | 55c | 21.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…76d0backed Yes | 63c | 19.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…c5aabacked No | 57c | 19.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…137ebacked No | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 136 | 63.2%86 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…0805backed No | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11e…1b2dbacked No | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.