Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on April 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f38a80ed563695bd85392061f95937f642c3fb192f91d98987aec6d46cbd903
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb63e…76d7backed Yes | 13c | 2,516$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed No | 80c | 1,108$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.17 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 9c | 845$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked No | 51c | 654.26$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 22c | 500.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 63c | 448.66$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.93 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 47c | 416.79$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.85 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 41c | 413.95$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.01 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ee…31aebacked Yes | 55c | 401.59$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.17 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 48c | 356.81$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.98 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…580fbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 56c | 262.45$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 40c | 251.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 55c | 236.12$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.13 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 58c | 185.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 58c | 185.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 53c | 180.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…ace3backed No | 35c | 179.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +11.9wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…bb4dbacked Yes | 57c | 173.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 52c | 168.21$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…e225backed No | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 55c | 129.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 73 | 13.7%10 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…5a5bbacked No | 55c | 126.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -11.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…961fbacked No | 42c | 125.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…9dd0backed No | 56c | 121.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed No | 42c | 120.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…1a68backed Yes | 58c | 120.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 57c | 114.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8722…11d0backed Yes | 42c | 107.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 52c | 96.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked Yes | 57c | 95.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 58c | 82.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382a…b590backed No | 43c | 81.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ca…0269backed No | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cd…aecdbacked No | 63c | 79.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked Yes | 45c | 77.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked No | 42c | 77.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 58c | 77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 54c | 75.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee41…e7bebacked No | 44c | 73.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 41c | 71.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d3…415ebacked Yes | 49c | 68.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 422 | 53.1%224 W · 198 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 42c | 67.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 57c | 60.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a28…0e02backed No | 40c | 56.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…da6abacked Yes | 36c | 56.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…955cbacked No | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed No | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…6946backed No | 71c | 49.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…5471backed No | 62c | 48.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…c935backed Yes | 32c | 44.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 217 | 35%76 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…1e7bbacked Yes | 50c | 43.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 92 | 70.7%65 W · 27 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…ad9dbacked No | 46c | 41.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 30c | 40.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 64c | 40.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…54abbacked No | 42c | 40.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…87b0backed No | 48c | 39.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…0e22backed Yes | 52c | 39.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4f…2c34backed No | 38c | 39.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…4908backed Yes | 51c | 37.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 56c | 36.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…779dbacked Yes | 48c | 36.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 29c | 35.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 41c | 34.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…70f0backed Yes | 43c | 33.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 61c | 32.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…8ce1backed Yes | 66c | 32.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…af8bbacked No | 56c | 32.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 43c | 32.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…42a6backed Yes | 42c | 30.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…9544backed Yes | 37c | 30.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 51c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 57c | 28.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ca28backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…10efbacked Yes | 37c | 26.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…ef70backed No | 57c | 25.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 54c | 24.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…23c7backed Yes | 53c | 23.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…e526backed Yes | 60c | 22.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…7253backed Yes | 51c | 21.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 74c | 19.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…0805backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fb…a1c0backed No | 78c | 18.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 76cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…9ec7backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…96a0backed Yes | 58c | 17.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 74c | 15.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…35c4backed No | 68c | 14.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on April 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on April 7?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on April 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.