Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9c5ffeb63679312ec37a0ffecfdd5c203bbd34e871ecbfb2afd1da8267d503f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3158…be0dbacked Yes | 2c | 673.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…30e0backed Yes | 56c | 625.91$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…0f32backed Yes | 2c | 571.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315e…56febacked Yes | 4c | 534.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 21c | 499.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 65c | 437.32$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…f8d0backed Yes | 49c | 360$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 40c | 349.85$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.58 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 35c | 327.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked Yes | 11c | 312.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 18c | 310.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…5923backed Yes | 9c | 264.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…3576backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 63c | 245.08$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…92f9backed Yes | 42c | 230.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 206.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 198.33$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6230…6debbacked Yes | 52c | 176.78$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed Yes | 48c | 174.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 39c | 160.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Yes | 35c | 147.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b3…e305backed Yes | 35c | 147$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 49c | 141.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 69c | 140.37$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…07f7backed Yes | 38c | 135$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…6599backed Yes | 12c | 134.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 94 | 7.4%7 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 30c | 134.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…f71cbacked Yes | 40c | 124.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…ae7cbacked Yes | 38c | 122$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 55c | 118.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…baa4backed Yes | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 60c | 104.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756c…66c7backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 51c | 98.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 64c | 94.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 27c | 90.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Yes | 40c | 87.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…c68dbacked Yes | 15c | 84.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac1…1a0ebacked Yes | 31c | 83.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed Yes | 16c | 82.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 283 | 29.3%83 W · 200 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…fa84backed Yes | 26c | 82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d74…3163backed No | 40c | 77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 38c | 70.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…779dbacked Yes | 36c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…298fbacked Yes | 40c | 69.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…226abacked Yes | 41c | 64.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…5a26backed No | 63c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f10…0060backed Yes | 58c | 60.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…60f7backed Yes | 39c | 56.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…4a55backed No | 65c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4988…f2d3backed Yes | 43c | 55.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 55c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 40c | 50.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 61c | 50.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…b2ffbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…5ca6backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed No | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…e158backed No | 52c | 48.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bc9bbacked No | 61c | 47.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…67b3backed Yes | 59c | 47.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 48c | 47.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7f…3d86backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 61c | 44.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…061bbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…7ba3backed Yes | 59c | 42.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Yes | 53c | 41.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 37c | 40.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…2c4bbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b2…74b8backed No | 63c | 39.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe4…8324backed No | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3598…b162backed Yes | 39c | 37.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…ad99backed No | 62c | 37.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…2f09backed Yes | 36c | 36.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 47c | 35.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 34.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed No | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f96dbacked No | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…522abacked No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…ff4fbacked No | 61c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 46c | 31.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…45eabacked No | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 48c | 29.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…747ebacked No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…b1c7backed No | 52c | 28.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 148 | 26.4%39 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 27.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…c1d9backed No | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…6eadbacked No | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 47c | 25.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 42c | 25.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…c6d1backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…385dbacked No | 60c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 53c | 23.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 61c | 22.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on March 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.