Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e31a620115c62262c8a371085e2c88c67bf1a916d36eb3c47d3a32477ea1106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 24c | 1,160$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.68 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked No | 49c | 405.16$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 203 | 42.9%87 W · 116 L | +20.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 8c | 370.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.78 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 7c | 357.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.45 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 49c | 295.52$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.66 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…9b40backed Yes | 58c | 295.49$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 51c | 230.61$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 50c | 197.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed No | 10c | 186.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.07 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 50c | 178.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed No | 12c | 166.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.66 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 51c | 152.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…3255backed Yes | 58c | 152.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 51c | 147.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…298fbacked Yes | 49c | 146.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 49c | 141.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…1116backed No | 52c | 141.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked No | 46c | 136.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 49c | 135.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 46c | 133.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 29c | 131.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…779dbacked Yes | 44c | 131.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 52c | 129.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 49c | 118.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 47c | 114.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 58c | 114.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f21dbacked Yes | 65c | 106.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 47c | 104.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 46c | 102.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 52c | 102.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…baa4backed Yes | 47c | 98.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfedf…ee2abacked Yes | 48c | 98.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 50c | 96.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…4d88backed No | 16c | 95.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 53c | 95.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 45c | 94.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed Yes | 48c | 93.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 283 | 29.3%83 W · 200 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 45c | 85.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…c94abacked Yes | 79c | 85.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…565abacked Yes | 57c | 82.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 53c | 82.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac1…1a0ebacked No | 58c | 82.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…839abacked Yes | 51c | 80.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 281 | 19.9%56 W · 225 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 52c | 77.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…b7a3backed Yes | 53c | 70.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed No | 35c | 70.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 48c | 65.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 59c | 62.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Yes | 50c | 62.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 54c | 60.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d48…ba3cbacked Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 59.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed No | 42c | 59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…c5aabacked No | 52c | 55.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe16…d380backed Yes | 46c | 55.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 45c | 55.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…2fd0backed Yes | 53c | 54.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe0…64b7backed No | 48c | 52.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…51eebacked Yes | 77c | 51.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 46c | 51.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…e82fbacked No | 55c | 50.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…fb04backed No | 56c | 46.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce2…dd34backed Yes | 50c | 44.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 107 | 32.7%35 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 49c | 43.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 51c | 43.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c8…f376backed Yes | 51c | 43.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6230…6debbacked Yes | 46c | 42.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 40.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 54c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…3120backed Yes | 57c | 39.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea2…73a1backed No | 53c | 39.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…67b3backed Yes | 60c | 39.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…9c24backed Yes | 60c | 35.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…1b8cbacked Yes | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c6…c7bfbacked No | 47c | 33.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 52c | 32.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf72f…3b4dbacked Yes | 50c | 29.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked No | 50c | 29.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 49c | 29.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed No | 60c | 28.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 70c | 28.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…d023backed Yes | 52c | 27.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 67c | 26.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…c0abbacked No | 50c | 25.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…9f22backed Yes | 43c | 23.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd88…8bcabacked Yes | 46c | 22.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 49c | 22.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 54c | 21.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…ae19backed Yes | 50c | 20.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.