Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79c781e309b53995a975f7a62f1974a5b25e73db094e864f301fbfe9906c8869
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,121$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked Yes | 20c | 884.04$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 203 | 42.9%87 W · 116 L | +20.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac1…1a0ebacked Yes | 36c | 485.57$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.83 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 383.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 8c | 359.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…30e0backed Yes | 44c | 262.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 17c | 245.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 222.52$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 31c | 221.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f21dbacked Yes | 18c | 200.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 18c | 198.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 19c | 186.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 78c | 180.32$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed No | 70c | 156.1$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 27c | 149.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 18c | 149.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 133.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…c94abacked No | 79c | 132.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…2420backed Yes | 33c | 127.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 79c | 122.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 25c | 121.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…e92abacked Yes | 26c | 119.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d48…ba3cbacked Yes | 18c | 118.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…298fbacked Yes | 28c | 115.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 115.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 18c | 107.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 72c | 107.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 9c | 106.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 26c | 105.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 31c | 104.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 76c | 102.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…baa4backed Yes | 30c | 98.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 24c | 98.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes | 33c | 97.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 18c | 97.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 75c | 96.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 33c | 91.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 16c | 87.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 27c | 87.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…5b44backed Yes | 28c | 86.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 18c | 80.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…1116backed No | 74c | 78.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 17c | 72.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed Yes | 21c | 68.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…3120backed Yes | 25c | 68.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 30c | 65.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 27c | 64.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 29c | 63.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe208…e98cbacked Yes | 30c | 63.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…a253backed No | 79c | 61.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked No | 76c | 56.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe16…d380backed Yes | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 75c | 51.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…565abacked Yes | 43c | 50.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 24c | 49.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 26c | 44.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 76c | 42.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…fca3backed No | 74c | 39.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 71c | 39.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…e802backed Yes | 29c | 37.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…f641backed No | 72c | 34.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 72c | 33.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…d64fbacked No | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 191 | 71.7%137 W · 54 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 34c | 30.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…0cf9backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcafd…b861backed No | 79c | 29.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…c5aabacked No | 64c | 28.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 62c | 27.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 73c | 27.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…a957backed No | 78c | 27.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…695fbacked No | 75c | 25.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41f…bb32backed No | 77c | 25.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed No | 73c | 25.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 74c | 22.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 74c | 18.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked No | 79c | 18.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…337abacked No | 73c | 16.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed No | 75c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…a151backed No | 69c | 15.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…e82fbacked No | 76c | 13.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.