MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e0383242fd95c6c589b834c609ff97b47042e7d3af01228c49bb68d74df0e3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Giants | 59c | 20,859$12,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,290.53 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Giants | 60c | 20,547$12,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,328.45 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…5644backed Giants | 64c | 16,059$10,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,322 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Padres | 40c | 14,873$5,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,923.53 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 33c | 14,090$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,424.48 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 41c | 11,530$4,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,802.41 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 23c | 9,006$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,979.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 40c | 6,056$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.01 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 35c | 5,922$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Giants | 59c | 5,188$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.84 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Giants | 59c | 3,645$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.69 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Padres | 35c | 3,500$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.12 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Padres | 34c | 3,357$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.57 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Padres | 27c | 3,127$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.97 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Padres | 34c | 3,063$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.82 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres | 43c | 2,552$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.15 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 54c | 2,325$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.21 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Giants | 52c | 1,948$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.42 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 39c | 1,500$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.88 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Padres | 40c | 1,499$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 39c | 1,498$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.63 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 40c | 1,461$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.38 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…a627backed Padres | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 17c | 1,094$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.12 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 40c | 1,076$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.9 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Padres | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Giants | 45c | 1,020$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.02 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Padres | 38c | 1,015$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.79 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Padres | 15c | 1,006$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.06 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Padres | 41c | 1,004$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.6 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Padres | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +413.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 41c | 999.74$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.69 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 60c | 995$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Giants | 60c | 972$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.2 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Giants | 64c | 930.1$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.26 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Padres | 19c | 810.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.56 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Padres | 41c | 801.14$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.67 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1de…5834backed Padres | 7c | 792.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +486.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 39c | 720.18$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.25 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…8397backed Giants | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Padres | 41c | 680$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.2 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 40c | 646$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.6 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Padres | 5c | 616$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.36 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Padres | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…adc4backed Padres | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Giants | 58c | 575$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.5 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Padres | 63c | 551.13$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.92 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Padres | 28c | 520$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Padres | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…c03dbacked Padres | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Padres | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Padres | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…a6c9backed Giants | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Padres | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.95 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Giants | 56c | 359.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Padres | 41c | 331.39$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Giants | 61c | 309.26$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Giants | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Padres | 17c | 281.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.76 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Padres | 65c | 262.07$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Padres | 16c | 250$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Padres | 65c | 240.92$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Giants | 56c | 230.04$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Padres | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 26c | 198.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Padres | 41c | 191.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Padres | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 27c | 186.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Giants | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Giants | 60c | 166.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Padres | 40c | 160.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Padres | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…7f79backed Padres | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Padres | 10c | 149.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.54 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Padres | 60c | 146.67$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Giants | 36c | 144.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…293fbacked Padres | 44c | 143.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09a…75b1backed Giants | 71c | 138.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.69 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Padres | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 43c | 123.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Padres | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Giants | 52c | 115.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Padres | 67c | 109.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 27c | 108.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b2…7c70backed Padres | 16c | 105.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Padres | 41c | 104.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Padres | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Padres | 39c | 99.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants | 58c | 95.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…c455backed Padres | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Padres | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Padres | 34c | 84.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Giants | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Giants | 60c | 78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Giants | 59c | 76.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.