MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa414682b842004ba4335d3f197a17928c3c2f1b99ef50f7c0aeb479e0b4e45cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Mariners | 60c | 28,210$16,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,866.74 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 55c | 25,895$14,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,118.06 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Mariners | 1c | 15,040$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 41c | 13,587$5,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,062.07 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Athletics | 40c | 8,950$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,384.02 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Athletics | 39c | 8,600$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,245.95 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Athletics | 45c | 8,470$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,697.28 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Athletics | 62c | 7,034$4,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.15 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Athletics | 39c | 5,023$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Mariners | 40c | 4,323$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.94 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 50c | 4,169$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Athletics | 43c | 4,121$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.61 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Mariners | 59c | 4,120$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.56 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…bf9dbacked Athletics | 49c | 4,095$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 61c | 4,045$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.76 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners | 49c | 3,502$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.01 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Mariners | 61c | 3,451$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Mariners | 62c | 3,019$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.75 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…346fbacked Athletics | 41c | 2,469$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 59c | 2,312$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.28 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Mariners | 71c | 2,265$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mariners | 33c | 2,125$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.3 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Athletics | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.98 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Athletics | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Mariners | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…4622backed Athletics | 42c | 939.17$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 43cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 39c | 899.97$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 40c | 872.07$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Mariners | 61c | 800$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.65 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Athletics | 44c | 780.36$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.36 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 39c | 768.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.08 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Athletics | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Athletics | 43c | 745$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.8 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 51c | 740.09$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.16 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Athletics | 43c | 722.81$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Athletics | 49c | 607.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.21 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Athletics | 41c | 590.02$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.52 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Mariners | 55c | 580.16$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mariners | 48c | 537.01$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.2 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Athletics | 41c | 527.44$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.74 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mariners | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Mariners | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Athletics | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…0a55backed Mariners | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Athletics | 39c | 478.45$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.77 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mariners | 60c | 405.22$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.13 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 39c | 400$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.04 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 39c | 399.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Mariners | 51c | 392.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Athletics | 37c | 364.38$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.68 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Athletics | 41c | 323.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.75 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Mariners | 68c | 296.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Athletics | 38c | 293.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.19 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Athletics | 43c | 279.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Athletics | 38c | 263.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.67 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa310…4c56backed Mariners | 52c | 251.45$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 29c | 246.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics | 48c | 222.3$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.78 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Athletics | 39c | 221.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 63c | 201.59$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Athletics | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mariners | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Athletics | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Athletics | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Athletics | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…7f79backed Athletics | 71c | 193.9$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Mariners | 55c | 182.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 62c | 174.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 61c | 166$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mariners | 64c | 157$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Athletics | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed Athletics | 42c | 139.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Athletics | 42c | 134.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Athletics | 40c | 118$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Athletics | 43c | 116.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mariners | 60c | 115.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Athletics | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Athletics | 55c | 101.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Athletics | 30c | 101.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Athletics | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Mariners | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Athletics | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Mariners | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Athletics | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Mariners | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Mariners | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mariners | 63c | 92.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Mariners | 59c | 89.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a2…37c7backed Mariners | 62c | 87.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Mariners | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Mariners | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…235cbacked Mariners | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Athletics | 64c | 78.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Marinersthis page
- Athletics vs. Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.