TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Fenerbahce vs. Panathinaikos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panathinaikosof Fenerbahce, Panathinaikos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,219
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,219 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Panathinaikos50c3,160$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.7354251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Fenerbahce63c3,074$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+61.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Fenerbahce56c1,787$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013650%68 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Fenerbahce56c1,773$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Panathinaikos44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Panathinaikos75c1,368$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.742157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Panathinaikos45c1,309$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.1814847.3%70 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Panathinaikos50c1,261$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.0336939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Panathinaikos51c1,180$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.981553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Fenerbahce59c988.87$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Fenerbahce57c939.01$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.232133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Fenerbahce48c799.99$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Panathinaikos45c670$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.58344.6%37 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e47…3d20backed Fenerbahce52c599.88$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.941080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Fenerbahce55c560$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9b…d007backed Fenerbahce55c499.97$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.991070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+47.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Panathinaikos45c426.67$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.673345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fenerbahce40c389.97$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5734344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Fenerbahce33c337.54$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0313548.9%66 W · 69 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Panathinaikos44c334$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Fenerbahce45c296.7$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4414542.1%61 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Fenerbahce42c284.76$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1195630.4%17 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Panathinaikos53c243.05$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.371947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc76b…5fbabacked Fenerbahce58c242$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Panathinaikos58c240.53$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Panathinaikos55c230.13$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.57785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Panathinaikos43c207.54$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2427557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3a…265ebacked Fenerbahce50c205.39$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.52933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Fenerbahce54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Fenerbahce9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Fenerbahce65c185.41$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Fenerbahce43c182.42$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Panathinaikos68c179.1$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.454369.8%30 W · 13 L+7.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Fenerbahce58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Panathinaikos42c167.02$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8712040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Panathinaikos63c162.39$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9912268.9%84 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Panathinaikos43c156$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.511250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Fenerbahce56c151.79$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Panathinaikos44c138$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+68.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Panathinaikos45c126$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Fenerbahce80c125.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007153.5%38 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-13.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Fenerbahce56c124.37$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Panathinaikos61c121$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5931651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Panathinaikos44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.91172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+65.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Fenerbahce53c119.45$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6312041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Panathinaikos43c113.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Panathinaikos43c113.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Fenerbahce79c113$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.44946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Panathinaikos47c106.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.084454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Panathinaikos44c104$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Panathinaikos43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572548%12 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick58cpaid+49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Fenerbahce40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db2…fefebacked Fenerbahce22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Panathinaikos44c99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.44850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94ae…63d1backed Panathinaikos23c94.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…4446backed Fenerbahce57c91.05$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.93955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe20…a277backed Fenerbahce47c89.89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Panathinaikos45c88.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b83…1f0bbacked Fenerbahce57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Panathinaikos47c85.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa27…dbdcbacked Fenerbahce55c81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Panathinaikos44c75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb9…d7ddbacked Fenerbahce56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-82.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x73fd…5166backed Fenerbahce56c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…c04ebacked Fenerbahce57c66.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Fenerbahce37c65.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.363748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Panathinaikos43c63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Fenerbahce57c61.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefef…94b8backed Panathinaikos46c61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Panathinaikos39c59.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.331526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Panathinaikos44c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Panathinaikos44c55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+111.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Fenerbahce41c50.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.631833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed Fenerbahce55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Panathinaikos39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd67a…304cbacked Fenerbahce57c49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.93540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…2da5backed Fenerbahce62c45.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Panathinaikos46c45.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.658653.5%46 W · 40 L+10.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf21a…0751backed Fenerbahce57c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f57…6d41backed Fenerbahce56c45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked Fenerbahce55c44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-65.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed Fenerbahce56c42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Fenerbahce57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.66666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x19fe…dbd8backed Fenerbahce57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…38ccbacked Fenerbahce57c39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Fenerbahce57c38.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.69520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-73%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e49…bd4bbacked Panathinaikos46c37.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7399…fe96backed Fenerbahce55c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Fenerbahce55c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ae…2bfebacked Fenerbahce56c37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x064a…5eb9backed Fenerbahce43c36.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.55425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-56.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Fenerbahce61c36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Fenerbahce56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Panathinaikos73c34.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4713235.6%47 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Panathinaikos44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0819…05c8backed Panathinaikos45c33.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Fenerbahce57c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed Fenerbahce57c31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Fenerbahce57c31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480a…e3c9backed Fenerbahce55c31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.