TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,212 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes35c20,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00036243.1%156 W · 206 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No65c15,282$9,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,348.553855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Yes10c5,328$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.871631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No64c4,011$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.411,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c3,118$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.932,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes19c2,786$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.385,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed Yes3c1,878$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.342025%5 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c1,287$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.12,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes25c1,250$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31317421.8%38 W · 136 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked No63c1,112$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.921258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes28c1,067$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc304…2c49backed Yes11c914.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.651643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e02…8a06backed Yes14c780.55$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.581513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-76.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae75…e41cbacked Yes40c654.47$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.291250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes19c532.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes19c525.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122f…fca5backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No79c477.66$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0318143.6%79 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes13c462$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.026942%29 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No65c462$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.73043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes29c451.94$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13237341.6%155 W · 218 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x075a…fb98backed Yes36c445.75$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.471650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab9b…d007backed Yes36c444.44$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No79c411.55$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.351,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Yes17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687660.5%46 W · 30 L+12.6wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+42%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xefdd…217fbacked Yes20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1482842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes27c370.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes7c342$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.123548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…4d23backed Yes15c334$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.912254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x102c…708bbacked Yes11c328.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e3f…e9fbbacked Yes16c324$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-57.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Yes19c307.63$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Yes35c288.46$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.964944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x355c…0200backed Yes16c253.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908055%44 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdca5…9e9abacked Yes12c246.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick21cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes41c244.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1139637.1%147 W · 249 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc64a…74c0backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed Yes20c230$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-63.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…f691backed Yes9c218$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.08812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes17c205.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes29c203.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No63c201.56$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.583342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes36c200$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7114435.4%51 W · 93 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e6…df3cbacked Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes13c189.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No64c168.25$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.421,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff27…92babacked Yes19c162.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927b…3735backed Yes18c155.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes12c148.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8412530.4%38 W · 87 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd903…27e7backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013151.1%67 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfa6…c301backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f32…97c2backed Yes9c121$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6823…633bbacked Yes18c115.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc43d…8f2bbacked Yes35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2752…8ce3backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46a0…f721backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+63.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd641…f7debacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Yes23c97.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5122054.1%119 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cd5…30f0backed Yes15c95.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x266a…b5debacked Yes11c90$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2a…179cbacked Yes35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes35c84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.417141.5%71 W · 100 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb0…f162backed Yes36c83.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes34c81.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2832835.4%116 W · 212 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Yes14c79.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Yes35c79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.651861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes33c75.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255046%23 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb2…e990backed Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes35c69.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1767050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes31c65.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207057.1%40 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c9…66babacked Yes36c65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021540.5%87 W · 128 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes41c57.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.67115.5%11 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb75e…501abacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+43.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes41c56.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1213959%82 W · 57 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025263.5%160 W · 92 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc317…4f97backed Yes22c55.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.071850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked No76c52.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.42975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe576…dca2backed Yes22c50.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.52860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022349.3%110 W · 113 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9c…0aa3backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No59c48.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.077454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f1…56e0backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc8…7309backed Yes32c34.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70fb…78fcbacked Yes35c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Yes39c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.481450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes39c31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0929425.9%76 W · 218 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No63c29.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.15862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb570…25dbbacked No65c26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cdb…4851backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No65c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0515162.3%94 W · 57 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.