Champions League · resolved market
FC København vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5907b97eb3f2d4eda4a8d29877ab3430dd22d2d54405047513417c86220ca1b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 3,102$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.78 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 50c | 1,498$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.98 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 993$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.24 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 19c | 759.26$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.42 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 30c | 400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 49c | 309.79$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.47 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 50c | 225.2$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b8…26b2backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 49c | 158.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 51c | 145.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 144.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 46c | 99.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 41c | 98.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed No | 52c | 88.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…05ddbacked No | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 52c | 58.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…2c98backed Yes | 55c | 47.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…ff35backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +149%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…01e8backed Yes | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Yes | 36c | 28.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…b331backed Yes | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d4…f49cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc578…aeb5backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…4e3abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC København vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.