Champions League · resolved market
FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb543e5a6fcad79b9f41578e0944c345b3fae715c434db88dbba46c3b3ad0f80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 10c | 1,250$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 79c | 849.17$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.3 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 813.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Under | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 7c | 362$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 17c | 288$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 23c | 252$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 25c | 188.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…84b9backed Over | 17c | 176$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Under | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Over | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b3…5c29backed Over | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…501bbacked Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 78c | 31.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 74c | 29.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 76c | 21.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Under | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5this page
- FC København vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.