Champions League · resolved market
FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17d3e218bc7d5401e67bd72336e59d030bfa1fffc8f152d73f9398acf675971e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 35c | 6,528$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 5,148$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.76 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37a…3959backed Over | 70c | 1,571$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Over | 71c | 1,116$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 70c | 1,041$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.3 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…896ebacked Over | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 24c | 984.1$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.99 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 70c | 940$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 66c | 840$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 56c | 826$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.46 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 30c | 776$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.29 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 78c | 773.18$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 55c | 674.55$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.55 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 64c | 480.79$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.72 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over | 62c | 286.24$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 59c | 255.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 30c | 183$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 38c | 145.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Over | 55c | 99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 58c | 91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 198 | 56.6%112 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 60c | 76.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 72c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 62.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 53.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 74c | 40.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…379ebacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 55 | 76.4%42 W · 13 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5this page
- FC København vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.