Mls · resolved market
MLS: Will Inter Miami beat FC Cincinnati?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf94a72647405668f6a20d39a267f45ffe5800eb1a26fab987a20b658f8980337
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 67c | 2,998$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 39c | 1,008$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.87 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 66c | 890.19$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.39 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 40c | 633$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 56c | 205.45$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 41c | 125$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x062e…9747backed Yes | 44c | 120.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed No | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 57c | 102.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a2…3308backed Yes | 46c | 51.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked No | 78c | 51.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 41c | 48.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc5…b75cbacked Yes | 40c | 28.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MLS: Will Inter Miami beat FC Cincinnati?this page
- MLS: Will FC Cincinnati beat Inter Miami?No won
- MLS: Will Inter Miami vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.