Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium to score first vs. Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd79e67227060efa37c9b51e43ac5f33aca1148640b389dd4adcf05034e5ef3f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 43,124$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.11 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 1c | 11,924$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 30c | 2,082$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.88 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 34c | 1,400$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.9 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 33c | 1,117$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.18 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 66c | 697.57$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.04 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 588$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.26 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 7c | 549$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes | 71c | 525$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.75 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 34c | 350.34$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.22 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…dd2fbacked Yes | 66c | 332.53$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…57b1backed Yes | 67c | 329.37$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.68 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 33c | 286.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.35 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe618…cce6backed Yes | 67c | 267.39$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 35c | 267.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 37c | 214.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…bf33backed Yes | 66c | 187.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…b245backed Yes | 66c | 150.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5860…8b52backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…4f3ebacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 67c | 75.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 66c | 68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…6827backed Yes | 66c | 60.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…3bdfbacked Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…9280backed Yes | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 33c | 52.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6591…9cd0backed No | 35c | 46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…c780backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…39adbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa72…dc07backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 35c | 36.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2d…a236backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…6258backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…1c23backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a881backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…5c47backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 66c | 28.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a35…5484backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…558dbacked Yes | 66c | 25.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…96ffbacked Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…edd9backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…539cbacked Yes | 67c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium to score first vs. Egypt?this page
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Neither team to score first?No won
- Egypt to score first vs. Belgium?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.