Mls · resolved market
Will Inter Miami beat Nashville SC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabd0f9e08524d93bde8f6788e101029a597f00833c0f6e2dbc106c7a9aabc280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 47c | 13,625$6,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,464.54 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 53c | 11,354$5,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,378.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 52c | 6,560$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.31 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 47c | 1,969$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.54 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 49c | 950$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.5 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 48c | 944.26$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.56 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 48c | 706.05$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.65 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Yes | 54c | 597.5$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 48c | 531.33$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.73 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 66c | 303.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 53c | 296.49$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 61c | 215$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 51c | 197.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 187.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 47c | 151$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 54c | 101$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 50c | 79.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…07f7backed Yes | 54c | 74.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 53c | 70.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…bc1fbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f9f5backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…5066backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…6b01backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami beat Nashville SC?this page
- Will Inter Miami vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Nashville SC beat Inter Miami?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.