WNBA · resolved market
Lynx vs Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4fdfdceaec73b153b2cb64f2706a6d95152ef3844efd338c0df16895d9cded0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stormof Lynx, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lynx | 58c | 6,635$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,858.49 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Storm | 47c | 5,815$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Lynx | 60c | 5,108$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Storm | 38c | 2,674$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.92 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Storm | 38c | 2,114$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.68 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Storm | 49c | 1,066$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Storm | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lynx | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Storm | 42c | 772.6$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Storm | 49c | 645$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.95 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Storm | 39c | 551.33$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.31 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Storm | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Storm | 36c | 442.69$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.32 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lynx | 57c | 428.49$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.24 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Lynx | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Lynx | 64c | 261$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.04 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Storm | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Storm | 41c | 242.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.05 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Lynx | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Storm | 38c | 155$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Lynx | 25c | 123.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Storm | 37c | 111.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Storm | 57c | 105.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Storm | 38c | 104$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Lynx | 40c | 94.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Storm | 41c | 84.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Storm | 60c | 80.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Lynx | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…2843backed Lynx | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…6aaabacked Storm | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Storm | 73c | 68.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Storm | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Lynx | 62c | 58.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Lynx | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Lynx | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lynx | 58c | 48.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…e8c9backed Lynx | 66c | 46.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61d…e172backed Lynx | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Lynx | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Lynx | 65c | 30.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Lynx | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Lynx | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.