La Liga · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Alaves: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfebe61773eface412a1da1db38f75d1a8d8367a3977e81807dbe40a2b5a11d3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.95 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 2,291$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.02 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 69c | 768.23$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.15 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 31c | 400.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 70c | 289.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 30c | 159.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Over | 69c | 86.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 71c | 85.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 30c | 65.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a4…554abacked Over | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…77e4backed Over | 70c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…4976backed Under | 30c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 30c | 54.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 30c | 47.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 69c | 38.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…ad3dbacked Over | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Over | 72c | 28.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…dfd3backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barcelona vs. Alaves: O/U 2.5this page
- Barcelona vs. Alaves: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Barcelona vs. Alaves: O/U 1.5Over won
- Barcelona vs. Alaves: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.