La Liga · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Alaves: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a6c8bf8bbc3d8ed081aed704074058865073208f7970705532e9ed642d2328f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 5,625$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.47 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 3,183$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.48 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 38c | 2,474$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.53 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 48c | 1,615$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.58 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,324$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.78 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 52c | 1,252$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.31 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 5c | 991.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 872.15$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.56 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…23d9backed Over | 60c | 550$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 62c | 467.68$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.82 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 65c | 398.97$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.97 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 53c | 302.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.13 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Over | 49c | 290$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 51c | 277.77$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.66 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked Over | 51c | 234$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 191.05$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d1…766bbacked Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 52c | 143.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 48c | 143.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.69 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…422dbacked Under | 59c | 114.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 75c | 113.17$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f1…4bd9backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 20c | 98.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1449…df20backed Over | 48c | 84.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…2da5backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Over | 48c | 62.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 47c | 57.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 34c | 52.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Under | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 51c | 43.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65dd…e8fbbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed Over | 61c | 36.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…2979backed Over | 49c | 32.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 23.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Under | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 62c | 17.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Under | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barcelona vs. Alaves: O/U 3.5this page
- Barcelona vs. Alaves: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Barcelona vs. Alaves: O/U 1.5Over won
- Barcelona vs. Alaves: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.