Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcce213d929098c186e263cfa3fe7a266fdf291580d2967d8124ccf41a5b15681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Over | 51c | 13,000$6,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,340 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d1…6c1cbacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4110…42a9backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Under | 2c | 1,341$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Under | 57c | 875.59$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 53c | 751.85$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.85 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…5b42backed Over | 64c | 741$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 42c | 695.59$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.46 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 572.89$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.84 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 46c | 562.64$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.81 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Under | 47c | 549.98$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Over | 55c | 548.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Over | 45c | 501.87$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.03 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 46c | 227$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…f359backed Under | 49c | 211$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…ba11backed Under | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x158e…eb0ebacked Under | 48c | 207$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4b…edbdbacked Under | 48c | 207$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…3817backed Under | 48c | 207$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8036…be6fbacked Over | 52c | 203$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…5469backed Over | 51c | 202$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…6fc4backed Under | 48c | 201$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…15fbbacked Over | 52c | 201$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…3be6backed Under | 48c | 201$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…abd7backed Over | 52c | 201$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…c9f5backed Under | 48c | 201$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…c1b1backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +145.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…5380backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f6…fd6ebacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…a4c9backed Under | 48c | 196$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8a…401ebacked Under | 48c | 196$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b0…b312backed Over | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb93…ecfebacked Under | 49c | 192$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…d020backed Over | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdc…6ce2backed Over | 52c | 191$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…7225backed Under | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…6c99backed Over | 52c | 189$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…b2b5backed Over | 52c | 189$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ea…dfe3backed Over | 52c | 188$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1e…fdb5backed Over | 52c | 185$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebe…4a6abacked Under | 48c | 182$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f7adbacked Over | 51c | 182$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…be25backed Under | 48c | 182$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d60…e01abacked Over | 52c | 181$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d0…ce97backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e0…1a88backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…a4efbacked Over | 52c | 177$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 176$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf2…4b3abacked Under | 48c | 176$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…ef6ebacked Over | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…806ebacked Under | 49c | 175$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…0f48backed Over | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…1f94backed Over | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…6048backed Under | 48c | 173$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…8f57backed Over | 52c | 166$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…fbcbbacked Over | 51c | 162$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…a561backed Over | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 53c | 127.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…18afbacked Over | 47c | 125.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 47c | 119.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Under | 49c | 93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Over | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed Over | 52c | 79.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 54c | 65.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Over | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 342 | 44.7%153 W · 189 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Under | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 267 | 54.7%146 W · 121 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0454…ba0fbacked Over | 52c | 57.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 49c | 52.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 52c | 46.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 55c | 35.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5017…4daebacked Over | 53c | 29.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Over | 52c | 28.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Under | 56c | 23.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked Under | 53c | 21.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.