TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Florida Atlantic Owls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. Bonaventure Bonniesof St. Bonaventure Bonnies, Florida Atlantic Owls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,034 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies59c3,196$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.131,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Florida Atlantic Owls36c2,486$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.215,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Florida Atlantic Owls34c2,041$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.185,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies64c1,971$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.131,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Florida Atlantic Owls51c1,621$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.853,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Florida Atlantic Owls61c1,388$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.21,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4862…1a17backed Florida Atlantic Owls49c1,029$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida Atlantic Owls28c569.64$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.54,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies38c494$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.442,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Florida Atlantic Owls57c451$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.0712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies66c390$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.161,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies49c377.95$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.072,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies56c358.67$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.733,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Florida Atlantic Owls62c356.81$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.111,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies60c337.99$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.121,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies66c303.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.054560%27 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Florida Atlantic Owls40c302$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5855657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaef8…c6b7backed Florida Atlantic Owls13c294.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.76933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies42c249$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.753046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Florida Atlantic Owls23c245.06$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8469142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ea…fc59backed Florida Atlantic Owls21c219.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5ed9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies77c161$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.27425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-67.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c159.04$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4615939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb3…26aebacked Florida Atlantic Owls27c150.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5150%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.229444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e4…a93cbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies49c106.67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.271145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Florida Atlantic Owls11c98.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.842,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Florida Atlantic Owls55c77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.351,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a5…4024backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies42c72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Florida Atlantic Owls60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3618646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Florida Atlantic Owls34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013456.7%76 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies43c58.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.27450%37 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.513343.6%58 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Florida Atlantic Owls59c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5527955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3304…7048backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies58c43.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.451662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6f…e887backed Florida Atlantic Owls58c39.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies42c39.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.22,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…f4f4backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies65c30.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.667245.8%33 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.444955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7f…d5bdbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies55c27.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.351855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c25.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.125949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Florida Atlantic Owls62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies75c22.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.673467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies69c15.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.631855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.