Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce2106a37028fcf3f4832eb7dafbbf1bfe75102023c75e9ddbd49e14eb5aa2b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 25c | 1,977$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.86 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 68c | 1,085$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.12 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 940.62$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.55 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 690.48$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.07 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7316…4686backed Under | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…28bcbacked Under | 67c | 190.1$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 34c | 92.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Over | 33c | 72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Under | 70c | 54.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Over | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked Under | 69c | 32.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…06f1backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…5dc5backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.