TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over57c4,999$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.5720544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under42c3,780$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.652035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c2,386$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.712,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c1,592$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.761,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under47c877.13$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.0596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Over45c858.95$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.951457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under45c774.75$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.6438744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over55c524.89$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.233357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21512540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…e0cfbacked Under42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over58c432.33$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under44c322.63$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over57c227.27$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7915550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over49c226.36$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3615648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Under46c218.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002060%12 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over58c172.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6726744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Under47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752055%11 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over53c155.81$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2314351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over55c112.73$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7333951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507136.6%26 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d17…069abacked Over56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid+60.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445632.1%18 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over56c98.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2110456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f1…ce5fbacked Over50c94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Over55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.733748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over80c72$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43080%24 W · 6 L+6.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+46.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e898backed Over56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.43785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Over63c65.93$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.193658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Over65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.881675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.952748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd46a…e9dbbacked Under44c56.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cb…e52bbacked Under45c53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23a…9e6fbacked Under33c46.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under48c44.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2924849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa05…a764backed Over78c41$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…0ea4backed Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203129%9 W · 22 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.482458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Over55c30.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.734845.8%22 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under40c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5736852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x201a…e8ffbacked Over57c26.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.863458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under44c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1227226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b4…a867backed Over56c21.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6da8…d660backed Over58c20.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.214740.8%60 W · 87 L-14.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.456246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb414…4b71backed Over57c18.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.