Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2ed2f9eacf02ae9d8f5b8ada293e15a78293a8d411a2b664104d1e0c8894b71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 25c | 4,341$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.31 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 3,644$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.52 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 71c | 3,002$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 22c | 1,633$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 1,430$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.05 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 3c | 1,205$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 80c | 698.09$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 20c | 687.45$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 23c | 500.26$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…69ebbacked Over | 73c | 440.75$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 79c | 304.64$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Over | 80c | 159.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…01d2backed Over | 80c | 144.76$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 22c | 135$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…29f7backed Under | 23c | 117.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed Over | 80c | 97.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 23c | 71.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Over | 79c | 52.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Over | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 74c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 74c | 18.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.