Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Baylor Bears vs. Memphis Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3562bfac124599a717dc260263c1c80f4c7a4c51b8c4daa04d9b26e4fd89d15b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphis Tigersof Baylor Bears, Memphis Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Baylor Bears | 50c | 14,984$7,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,491.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Baylor Bears | 38c | 14,000$5,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,312.05 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Memphis Tigers | 54c | 10,180$5,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.51 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Memphis Tigers | 68c | 9,262$6,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.23 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Memphis Tigers | 47c | 6,974$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,668.6 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Baylor Bears | 62c | 5,653$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.89 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 4,868$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Memphis Tigers | 39c | 4,626$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.51 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Baylor Bears | 56c | 3,535$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.08 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Memphis Tigers | 53c | 3,492$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.9 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Memphis Tigers | 52c | 3,340$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Baylor Bears | 48c | 2,600$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.99 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Baylor Bears | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…3327backed Baylor Bears | 49c | 2,057$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Memphis Tigers | 50c | 1,772$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.64 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Memphis Tigers | 52c | 1,613$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.97 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Memphis Tigers | 55c | 1,475$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.13 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Memphis Tigers | 50c | 1,445$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.21 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Memphis Tigers | 49c | 1,431$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.44 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Memphis Tigers | 53c | 1,286$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.64 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Memphis Tigers | 50c | 1,048$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.14 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Memphis Tigers | 38c | 1,001$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.62 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Memphis Tigers | 38c | 874.2$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Memphis Tigers | 63c | 810.1$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Memphis Tigers | 41c | 753.54$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.71 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Memphis Tigers | 45c | 743.48$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Baylor Bears | 54c | 741.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Baylor Bears | 67c | 710.2$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.81 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Memphis Tigers | 55c | 484.26$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.64 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Memphis Tigers | 53c | 471.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Memphis Tigers | 53c | 450.7$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…09b8backed Baylor Bears | 55c | 448.27$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Memphis Tigers | 54c | 410$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.82 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked Baylor Bears | 52c | 379.33$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.59 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Memphis Tigers | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Memphis Tigers | 62c | 293.87$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Baylor Bears | 32c | 257.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Memphis Tigers | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Memphis Tigers | 65c | 231.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Baylor Bears | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Baylor Bears | 49c | 220.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Memphis Tigers | 40c | 215$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Baylor Bears | 38c | 191.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Memphis Tigers | 53c | 191$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65fd…5dd3backed Baylor Bears | 62c | 160.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Memphis Tigers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Memphis Tigers | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Baylor Bears | 61c | 140$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…eab4backed Memphis Tigers | 46c | 128.23$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Memphis Tigers | 50c | 124.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Memphis Tigers | 49c | 103.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Baylor Bears | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Baylor Bears | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Baylor Bears | 62c | 99.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Memphis Tigers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Baylor Bears | 56c | 87.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Baylor Bears | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Baylor Bears | 60c | 74.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Baylor Bears | 60c | 74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Baylor Bears | 60c | 73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…b07dbacked Baylor Bears | 52c | 69.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Baylor Bears | 60c | 68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 64.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked Baylor Bears | 40c | 56.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Memphis Tigers | 54c | 56.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Memphis Tigers | 38c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Memphis Tigers | 39c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…2370backed Memphis Tigers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Baylor Bears | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5990…c2edbacked Baylor Bears | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Baylor Bears | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Memphis Tigers | 42c | 32.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Memphis Tigers | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Baylor Bears | 60c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Memphis Tigers | 49c | 26.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Memphis Tigers | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Baylor Bears | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Baylor Bears | 55c | 21.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.