Other European Leagues · resolved market
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x191d782480705f68dbbb20384ea392a17f898dbc3de5cfc9acd7353a4a9d9ac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 56c | 996.54$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.48 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 386$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 46c | 297$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 54c | 86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 54c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 54c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 65.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c42…e5a5backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Over | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 56c | 25.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5this page
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.