Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão vs. SC Braga end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa51d4fa1064164e99c54121de84cc766b90ae7a6c385fa0e25c3725ad1074fae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 51c | 1,973$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 1,783$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 894.09$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 49c | 671$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.29 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 16c | 584.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.25per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 14c | 453$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 67c | 430.63$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked No | 51c | 400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 341.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 28c | 248$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 52c | 192.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fe…2956backed Yes | 52c | 119.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 67c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f15…a634backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed No | 72c | 97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 58c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed No | 72c | 76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…4f97backed Yes | 53c | 67.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 17c | 67.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 51c | 58.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 27c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 22.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão vs. SC Braga end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.