South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8178ccf546f50765407798a3a5a56db53efa858e89ce74642180202a38de3505
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 43c | 40,000$17,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,200 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 57c | 29,000$16,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,469.89 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 1,788$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.96 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 1,786$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.48 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 50c | 1,441$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.97 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 1,413$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 31c | 1,190$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.1 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 59c | 582.79$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.39 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 18c | 553.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 74c | 467.21$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.74 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a36…dc9cbacked Yes | 18c | 350.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 22c | 182.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 55c | 167.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…ffb0backed Yes | 71c | 160$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 57c | 137.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…b05ebacked Yes | 41c | 122.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Yes | 9c | 117.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 68c | 112.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 46c | 107.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 46c | 64.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 48c | 53.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 39c | 42.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…f993backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef4…a780backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 72c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 54c | 28.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…1455backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 58c | 19.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…de98backed No | 65c | 18.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 58c | 17.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-30?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.