Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Purdue Boilermakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6c269ac3cf75106e84ca4a882bbe9b64f7e1dd9527741831a200dd76a3dd9e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa State Cyclonesof Iowa State Cyclones, Purdue Boilermakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Iowa State Cyclones | 39c | 13,000$5,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,930.74 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Purdue Boilermakers | 61c | 12,230$7,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,460.48 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Purdue Boilermakers | 27c | 5,588$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Purdue Boilermakers | 40c | 4,995$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.64 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 58c | 2,142$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.04 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa State Cyclones | 63c | 1,890$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.04 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Iowa State Cyclones | 67c | 1,763$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Iowa State Cyclones | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.28 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Iowa State Cyclones | 42c | 715$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Purdue Boilermakers | 69c | 711$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.07 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 48c | 652.26$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.55 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iowa State Cyclones | 61c | 632.21$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.28 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Iowa State Cyclones | 52c | 547.5$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Purdue Boilermakers | 41c | 424.88$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 30c | 413.89$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Purdue Boilermakers | 59c | 390$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.46 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Purdue Boilermakers | 42c | 380$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.85 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 367.66$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.19 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Purdue Boilermakers | 65c | 360.04$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.03 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 329$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.27 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Iowa State Cyclones | 51c | 294$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Iowa State Cyclones | 37c | 267$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.9 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 57c | 220.11$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 37c | 213.87$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 209.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Purdue Boilermakers | 69c | 171$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.02 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 7c | 165$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Iowa State Cyclones | 51c | 159.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 61c | 157$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…d79fbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 65c | 133.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Purdue Boilermakers | 42c | 105$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Iowa State Cyclones | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Purdue Boilermakers | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…b232backed Purdue Boilermakers | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Iowa State Cyclones | 77c | 84.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Purdue Boilermakers | 29c | 65.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 61c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Iowa State Cyclones | 33c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…9c03backed Iowa State Cyclones | 35c | 34.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f0…1b00backed Iowa State Cyclones | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.35per pick | 44cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Purdue Boilermakers | 60c | 29.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed Purdue Boilermakers | 68c | 29.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Iowa State Cyclones | 74c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Purdue Boilermakersthis page
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 151.5Under won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-4.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-5.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.