Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94197a314374ee5f37d98179e42638cf1b2aec71e39d5d4e905647cb06caf555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa State Cyclonesof Purdue Boilermakers, Iowa State Cyclones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 9,000$4,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.67 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 5,215$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 4,780$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 2,920$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 1,373$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 48c | 1,222$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.44 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 673.03$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.8 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 662$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Iowa State Cyclones | 48c | 523$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.96 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Iowa State Cyclones | 51c | 400$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.42 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Iowa State Cyclones | 55c | 324$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 324$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed Iowa State Cyclones | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…849ebacked Iowa State Cyclones | 48c | 156.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…cdb1backed Iowa State Cyclones | 53c | 40.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…86a5backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-5.5)this page
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Purdue BoilermakersIowa State Cyclones won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 151.5Under won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-4.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.