TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Rhode Island Rams vs. Providence Friars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Providence Friarsof Rhode Island Rams, Providence Friars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed Providence Friars70c14,400$10,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,37011662.1%72 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rhode Island Rams29c11,937$3,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,512.8369142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rhode Island Rams31c2,910$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.71,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Providence Friars69c1,599$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.893,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Rhode Island Rams39c1,574$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.5810041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rhode Island Rams19c1,327$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.095,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rhode Island Rams35c801.1$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.531,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Providence Friars76c775.11$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0325043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Rhode Island Rams35c715$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.251,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Providence Friars61c658.59$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.275,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rhode Island Rams14c640$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Providence Friars61c604.17$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23823158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Providence Friars74c515.39$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.281,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rhode Island Rams40c260$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.253,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Rhode Island Rams24c108$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Providence Friars61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3915939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Providence Friars75c97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2534947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Providence Friars66c86.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.615949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Rhode Island Rams24c83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9265825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rhode Island Rams19c71.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7777142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd2…2b28backed Rhode Island Rams20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-65.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Providence Friars78c47.11$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Rhode Island Rams40c46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.415442.9%66 W · 88 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Providence Friars77c40.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.221,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Providence Friars73c13.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.