Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
La Salle Explorers vs. Merrimack College Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbc52b67bc30737816fac126ccb29786fa583d965cc8db117bb7b17f68a96d91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Merrimack College Warriorsof La Salle Explorers, Merrimack College Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 40c | 12,686$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,638.99 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed La Salle Explorers | 61c | 6,924$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,190.18 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed La Salle Explorers | 60c | 3,800$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.35 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked La Salle Explorers | 59c | 2,690$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.31 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed La Salle Explorers | 57c | 1,907$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.58 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Merrimack College Warriors | 55c | 887.65$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.82 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 39c | 800$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.44 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Merrimack College Warriors | 40c | 610$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Merrimack College Warriors | 40c | 500$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 48c | 481.81$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 79c | 402.04$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked La Salle Explorers | 43c | 401.15$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.09 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked La Salle Explorers | 56c | 372.4$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.41 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 40c | 335.12$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed La Salle Explorers | 8c | 283$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 40c | 190$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed La Salle Explorers | 18c | 158.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed La Salle Explorers | 60c | 130.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Merrimack College Warriors | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed La Salle Explorers | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked La Salle Explorers | 55c | 35.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Merrimack College Warriors | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked La Salle Explorers | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Merrimack College Warriors | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed La Salle Explorers | 53c | 27.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…f4fbbacked La Salle Explorers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…96a8backed Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- La Salle Explorers vs. Merrimack College Warriorsthis page
- La Salle Explorers vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 130.5Under won
- Spread: La Salle Explorers (-3.5)Merrimack College Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.