MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd28f2107e5ceae76a32f6ac92a04d58d393423e415b0badcd045ea1cc87a9811
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Astros, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fbc…9a2cbacked Astros | 30c | 100,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 73c | 39,372$28,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,723.21 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 43c | 33,088$14,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,237.56 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 68c | 29,599$20,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,420.37 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mariners | 57c | 29,216$16,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,562.89 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 69c | 21,579$14,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,763.53 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Astros | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 70c | 18,924$13,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,677.2 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 20c | 12,664$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.78 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 56c | 6,757$3,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.86 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mariners | 50c | 6,718$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.94 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Mariners | 57c | 6,071$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.71 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners | 54c | 4,747$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.83 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Mariners | 50c | 3,850$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.04 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Mariners | 50c | 3,850$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Mariners | 50c | 3,700$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Astros | 25c | 3,554$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.33 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Astros | 29c | 3,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Astros | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Mariners | 57c | 2,987$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.7 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Astros | 45c | 2,875$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.87 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Mariners | 56c | 2,475$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 62c | 2,112$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.88 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Astros | 42c | 1,883$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners | 79c | 1,850$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.3 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mariners | 70c | 1,800$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 6c | 1,714$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Mariners | 57c | 1,596$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.39 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dae…0907backed Mariners | 56c | 1,571$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…a6ddbacked Astros | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…e6dabacked Mariners | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…05d5backed Astros | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners | 57c | 1,487$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.56 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…a480backed Mariners | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…fb40backed Mariners | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.76 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c7…5d54backed Astros | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…5547backed Astros | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…669abacked Astros | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…a2e8backed Astros | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…ac3dbacked Mariners | 56c | 1,171$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mariners | 57c | 1,077$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.19 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mariners | 73c | 1,040$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.75 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Astros | 2c | 1,028$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5205…492dbacked Mariners | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Astros | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mariners | 55c | 949.97$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.48 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Mariners | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astros | 2c | 812.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mariners | 62c | 800.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.09 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Mariners | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c53…a22abacked Astros | 32c | 770.29$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Astros | 1c | 770$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Astros | 36c | 697.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Astros | 39c | 610$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.56 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Astros | 43c | 581$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.83 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Astros | 43c | 511.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Mariners | 75c | 510.31$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Mariners | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Astros | 42c | 449.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Mariners | 55c | 440$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Mariners | 56c | 439.29$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.29 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 43c | 426.89$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.56 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 29c | 370.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners | 76c | 339$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Mariners | 58c | 310.34$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Astros | 33c | 304.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Astros | 24c | 292.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mariners | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…e6c4backed Mariners | 53c | 244.44$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Mariners | 57c | 233.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 43c | 233.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…7418backed Astros | 8c | 220.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 45c | 213.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 47c | 213.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mariners | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Mariners | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 56c | 193.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Astros | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…d0e7backed Mariners | 60c | 186.32$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Mariners | 64c | 185$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Mariners | 57c | 176.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Mariners | 70c | 176$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mariners | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mariners | 65c | 161.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9a…ba53backed Mariners | 57c | 158.2$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Astros | 27c | 153.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Mariners | 50c | 151.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Astros | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Astros | 44c | 143.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Astros | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Astros | 43c | 115.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…1a38backed Mariners | 51c | 112$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Mariners | 70c | 108.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.