Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Aleksandar Vukic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x716b8b6d07637b37a0694bf5765d849b10d03cb72f874205ad524f9f103597e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brooksbyof Brooksby, Vukic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brooksby | 75c | 4,491$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.27 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Vukic | 35c | 3,600$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.04 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Vukic | 11c | 3,548$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.24 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Vukic | 33c | 2,754$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.11 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Brooksby | 67c | 2,272$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.95 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brooksby | 75c | 1,519$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.2 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Brooksby | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Brooksby | 58c | 1,400$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 365 | 40.8%149 W · 216 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Vukic | 26c | 1,284$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.46 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Vukic | 28c | 1,132$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.64 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Brooksby | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Vukic | 43c | 1,000$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.35 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Brooksby | 70c | 949.09$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.09 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Brooksby | 67c | 794.26$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.11 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Brooksby | 66c | 678.32$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.63 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Vukic | 28c | 670$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Vukic | 21c | 524.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brooksby | 73c | 510$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.72 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Vukic | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Vukic | 37c | 432.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Brooksby | 75c | 376.28$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.32 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Brooksby | 69c | 333.23$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Vukic | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brooksby | 69c | 322.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Vukic | 32c | 314.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Vukic | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vukic | 28c | 291.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Brooksby | 80c | 291$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Vukic | 23c | 257.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bf…1ab0backed Brooksby | 63c | 243.49$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Brooksby | 67c | 240.59$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Brooksby | 78c | 225$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Vukic | 40c | 221$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Brooksby | 68c | 187$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Brooksby | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Vukic | 48c | 141$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Vukic | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5228backed Brooksby | 78c | 112.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Brooksby | 66c | 106.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Vukic | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Vukic | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Brooksby | 64c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Vukic | 34c | 86.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Brooksby | 65c | 75.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Brooksby | 66c | 74.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Vukic | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Vukic | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Vukic | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 513 | 42.9%220 W · 293 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbc…8e01backed Brooksby | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Brooksby | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.