TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Royals vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Royals, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$636,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$643,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $636,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Tigers54c406,301$220,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185,728.4138043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals46c244,723$112,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,658.181,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Royals45c28,554$12,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,963.6838751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers54c20,936$11,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,630.4548254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Royals44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,80025453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers56c19,871$11,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,706.252,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Royals45c16,716$7,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,522.311,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals47c16,612$7,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,785.4763152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Royals46c12,946$5,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,955.0835952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers54c12,111$6,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,571.0560249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals45c6,789$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.051,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Royals46c6,693$3,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,106.321,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Royals48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4006538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Tigers74c4,727$3,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.154345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Royals31c4,585$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.721,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Tigers54c4,242$2,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.3933845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers53c2,722$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.3498149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Royals43c2,663$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.0621747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Royals44c2,630$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.6454048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Royals45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Royals46c2,287$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.763253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Royals47c2,250$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.525454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Royals46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Royals47c1,868$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.239,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Royals49c1,754$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.628944.9%40 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1126…6e7abacked Royals26c1,348$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.991540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals46c1,288$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.752,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Royals45c1,248$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.643949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Royals46c961.53$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.320850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cd3…212bbacked Tigers64c937.5$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42383248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Royals47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Tigers54c833.33$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3311446.5%53 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Tigers54c811.53$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.340152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70de…b98ebacked Royals7c768.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.862412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-65%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Tigers53c732.54$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.31,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers53c626.36$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.391,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Tigers68c622$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.719356.5%109 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Royals46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27614549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Tigers53c566$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.021,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Royals31c557$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6726650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Tigers54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e48…0783backed Royals48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c04cbacked Tigers53c520.75$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.751668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Royals45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22532651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Tigers54c477$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4224253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Royals21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Royals7c476.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.336,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Tigers54c400$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Tigers53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18827733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Royals47c399.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1883,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Royals46c399.97$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.991,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Royals38c387.8$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.56425%16 W · 48 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-32.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Royals6c348.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Royals46c330.73$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.373149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Royals47c320.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4480955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Royals47c311$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1717946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Tigers52c288$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2431347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Royals22c259.08$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.339739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Tigers53c243.16$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9c…f9bebacked Tigers56c225.01$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.823759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Royals47c221.28$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10499951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Royals46c219.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.21,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Royals46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Royals46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Royals47c213$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1140548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Royals48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9266751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0679…e5aabacked Royals19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4779…211fbacked Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec14…afbbbacked Tigers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7620…b9eabacked Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c61…a273backed Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc94…72debacked Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b8…729cbacked Tigers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c32…3b86backed Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb290…27c5backed Tigers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…c850backed Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0138…cdf1backed Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28fe…620bbacked Tigers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928353%44 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb523…0d72backed Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb340…6b02backed Tigers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef2…220bbacked Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f5…31d4backed Tigers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc213…f12bbacked Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925250%26 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d18…f551backed Tigers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x069c…ed7bbacked Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925046%23 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2916…bb5bbacked Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925435.2%19 W · 35 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfffa…f24dbacked Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Tigers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a1…99aabacked Tigers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40a0…a1c0backed Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf50e…b539backed Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e00…c26cbacked Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925054%27 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7c6…ce67backed Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab5…dce6backed Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9459…e52bbacked Tigers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927256.9%41 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8be8…7066backed Royals46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925050%25 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe91a…5145backed Tigers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.