TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Tennis · resolved market

US Open: Karen Khachanov vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Khachanovof Khachanov, Basavareddy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,351 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea64…f2a2backed Basavareddy20c14,898$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.459354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Khachanov80c8,974$7,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.711852.5%62 W · 56 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Khachanov80c7,774$6,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.837644.7%34 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Basavareddy22c5,976$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.6915933.3%53 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Khachanov78c4,203$3,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.6357949.6%287 W · 292 L-32.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Basavareddy23c4,029$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.558949.4%44 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Basavareddy20c4,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78015957.2%91 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Basavareddy22c3,200$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70452844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Khachanov78c3,200$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70410654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Khachanov72c3,028$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.5810138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Khachanov56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Khachanov80c2,600$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52067449.6%334 W · 340 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Basavareddy22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55036540.8%149 W · 216 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed Basavareddy20c2,231$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.144456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdc4…a880backed Basavareddy5c2,000$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.56633.3%22 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0447…60abbacked Khachanov79c1,847$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.342075%15 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Basavareddy30c1,780$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.6317833.1%59 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Khachanov77c1,764$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.2612253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Basavareddy21c1,690$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.7462742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Basavareddy20c1,613$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.681,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Khachanov78c1,588$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.8425244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1126…6e7abacked Khachanov67c1,506$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.811926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Khachanov78c1,230$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.712954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Basavareddy23c1,183$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.1114949%73 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Khachanov80c1,081$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.1929553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Basavareddy23c1,045$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.732141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Basavareddy21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21016140.4%65 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Basavareddy18c841.25$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.57028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Khachanov78c682$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0412552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Basavareddy28c550.19$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.282,85947.1%1,348 W · 1,511 L+37.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Khachanov79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10529636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Khachanov63c487.84$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.298453.6%45 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ce…cb62backed Basavareddy20c468.92$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.31844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Basavareddy22c440$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.529634.1%101 W · 195 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Basavareddy23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Basavareddy20c414$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.895140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Basavareddy24c410$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Khachanov77c406.48$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.611656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Basavareddy28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11231650%158 W · 158 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Basavareddy11c394.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1613245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Khachanov77c311.97$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9712560%75 W · 50 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Basavareddy36c275.22$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.089130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4b2…273bbacked Basavareddy29c263$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.066659.1%39 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Khachanov77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4612256.6%69 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4d…69e7backed Khachanov78c199.93$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.982441.7%10 W · 14 L-5.5wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-40%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Khachanov78c192.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3132161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Basavareddy29c165$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0675547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked Khachanov64c157.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Khachanov64c157.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.124961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Khachanov63c153.45$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5662952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aaa…8c2bbacked Khachanov76c139.76$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.643036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x421e…bc7fbacked Khachanov74c135.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.491050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Basavareddy23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Khachanov78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2143158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Khachanov79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Khachanov80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2573147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Basavareddy32c124$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.112634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Khachanov80c120.61$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6210956.9%62 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6e…b172backed Basavareddy24c118.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.261540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Basavareddy39c115.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.02944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Basavareddy22c99.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.718522.4%19 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Basavareddy22c90.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.021,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21d…a769backed Khachanov72c80.67$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.596358.7%37 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5a…725ebacked Khachanov77c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.42176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+31.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Basavareddy19c72.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8415724.8%39 W · 118 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Basavareddy23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551342.9%220 W · 293 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Khachanov59c61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0126039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Khachanov73c59.41$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.191656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked Khachanov79c48.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.112454.2%13 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed Basavareddy23c48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.041478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick50cpaid+62.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x843e…3530backed Khachanov78c42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Khachanov68c40.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1331555.6%175 W · 140 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Khachanov79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.972,34846.5%1,092 W · 1,256 L+54.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae0…c81abacked Khachanov80c36.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.35560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Basavareddy35c36.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.488555.3%47 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc3f…753cbacked Khachanov80c34.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.83771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick76cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fb…2b2abacked Khachanov78c33.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.344475%33 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa388…511fbacked Khachanov80c27.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.513281.3%26 W · 6 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+27.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x77db…cff4backed Khachanov80c27.08$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x455c…1c25backed Khachanov80c26.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.211566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Khachanov78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7414140.4%57 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Khachanov78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6410457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1d…bb61backed Khachanov80c25.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Khachanov72c23.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4811,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9913…76c0backed Khachanov62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa16b…ac55backed Khachanov73c16.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.44540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.