CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Open: Flyquest vs. G2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47418fc2ee9609018551f11b4c9dd9d3e50d7b3f9ff424ad1774ce529b7233ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of Flyquest, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Flyquest | 11c | 7,522$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.77 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Flyquest | 27c | 6,919$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.19 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked G2 | 73c | 4,597$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.2 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed Flyquest | 2c | 3,005$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Flyquest | 1c | 2,032$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Flyquest | 1c | 2,015$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed G2 | 77c | 1,927$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.3 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed G2 | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Flyquest | 27c | 1,021$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.55 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Flyquest | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed G2 | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Flyquest | 23c | 892.17$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Flyquest | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Flyquest | 10c | 731.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Flyquest | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed G2 | 76c | 565.93$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Flyquest | 9c | 519.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 187 | 24.1%45 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked G2 | 77c | 505.31$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Flyquest | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed Flyquest | 11c | 476.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Flyquest | 12c | 428.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Flyquest | 22c | 413.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed G2 | 74c | 413.69$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked G2 | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…a275backed Flyquest | 7c | 400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Flyquest | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed G2 | 78c | 396.42$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Flyquest | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked G2 | 77c | 315.88$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked Flyquest | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…7936backed Flyquest | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…5411backed G2 | 76c | 160.83$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…7e6abacked Flyquest | 9c | 148.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8f…ef1bbacked G2 | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Flyquest | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed G2 | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Flyquest | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Flyquest | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Flyquest | 26c | 76.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked Flyquest | 22c | 68.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed G2 | 77c | 65.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked G2 | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked Flyquest | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed G2 | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e96…ebc0backed G2 | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed G2 | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…43d0backed G2 | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.